News By/Courtesy: Ambuja Jain | 18 May 2019 20:36pm IST

HIGHLIGHTS

  • This year, the monsoon is likely to be delayed as its arrival is expected on 6 June, five days after its normal onset date, The India Meteorological Department announced.
  • They also said that ‘the conditions are becoming favourable for advance of southwest monsoon over the southern part of Andaman Sea, Nicobar Islands and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal
  • If the monsoon arrives late, then this would be third such instance since 2014 when it arrived on 5 June, followed by June 6 in 2015 and June 8 in 2016.

This year, the monsoon is likely to be delayed as its arrival is expected on 6 June, five days after its normal onset date, The India Meteorological Department announced. The Department announced that ‘this year, the model forecast suggests that the monsoon onset over Kerala is likely to be slightly delayed and the southwest monsoon onset is likely to set over Kerala on 6 June with a model error of plus or minus 4 days’.

They also said that ‘the conditions are becoming favourable for advance of southwest monsoon over the southern part of Andaman Sea, Nicobar Islands and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal during May 18-19’. The normal or the original onset date for monsoon over Kerala is 1 June, which also marks the official commencement of the four-month rainfall season.

If the monsoon arrives late, then this would be third such instance since 2014 when it arrived on 5 June, followed by June 6 in 2015 and June 8 in 2016. Though, such delay in rainfall may not necessarily have an impact on the overall rainfall. In 2018, it had hit Kerala on 29 May, three days before the normal onset date, yet the country received ‘below-normal’ rainfall.

Similarly, in 2017 also, the monsoon had arrived in Kerala on 30 May, but the overall rainfall was 95 percent of the long period average, which falls under the below normal category. In its forecast, the department had predicted a near-normal rainfall with a long period average (LPA) of 96 percent, which falls on the border of ‘below-normal’ and ‘normal’ rainfall category.

Section Editor: Shreyashi Tiwari | 18 May 2019 20:38pm IST


Tags : #India #Monsoon #Arrival #Delayed #Late #Less #Rainfall

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